Driver

ANT · Italian

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

Mercedes

Starts

—

Wins

—

Podiums

—

Poles

—

Titles

—

Next race model

Spanish Grand Prix

Round 14

Title chance

87.4%

Prediction breakdown

Andrea Kimi AntonelliMercedes

27.6%

P1 · P2 44.9% · P3 16.2%

Expected finish

P3.47

Podium

88.7%

Top 5

92.0%

DNF risk

8.3%

Why this prediction

→Strong recent form — avg finish P4.8 in last 5 races this season.
→Consistent race pace — P3.4 avg over last 8 classified finishes.
→Strong qualifying form — avg P4.2 across 16 recent sessions.
→Sprint history — avg P6.0 over 11 recent sprints.
→Strong constructor pace — team avg P3.9.
→No prior results at this circuit — circuit fit falls back to recent form.
→Outperforming teammate by 2.7 positions on average.

Strength model inputs

Factor	Raw stat	Weight	Contribution
Recent form (last 5 races)	P4.8 avg	×1.25	20.25
Race pace (last 8 finishes)	P3.4 avg	×1.15	20.27
Team pace (last 10 finishes)	P3.9 avg	×0.95	16.25
Qualifying (last 8 sessions)	P4.2 avg	×1.35	22.70
team_qualifying	P3.2 avg	×0.7	12.47
sprint_form	P6.0 avg	×0.95	14.25
team_sprint	P3.2 avg	×0.4	7.13
weekend_grid	—	×0	0.00
weekend_sprint	—	×0	0.00
Circuit history	P4.8 avg	×0.65	10.53
Reliability	92% finishes	×8	7.33
Teammate delta	+2.7 vs teammate	×0.6	1.60
track_type	—	×0.45	0.00
Total strength			132.78

race pace

████░4.4/5

qualifying

████░4.2/5

sprint form

████░3.8/5

weekend grid

Coming soon

weekend sprint

Coming soon

circuit fit

████░4.0/5

recent form

████░4.0/5

tyre model

Coming soon

weather

Coming soon

reliability

█████4.6/5

sample starts

░░░░░/5

Race details →Compare all drivers →

Current / derived form

Coming soon

Genome

Coming soon

Recent results

Coming soon

Explore: compare · greatness index