Driver

ALO · Spanish

Fernando Alonso

Aston Martin

Starts

—

Wins

—

Podiums

—

Poles

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Titles

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Next race model

United States Grand Prix

Round 18

Prediction breakdown

Fernando AlonsoAston Martin

0.0%

P1 (MC) · P2 0.0% · P3 0.0%

Expected finish

P15.89

Podium

0.0%

Top 5

0.0%

DNF risk

35.0%

Why this prediction

→Typically gains from the grid — avg 7.5 places over recent races.
→Higher historical pit frequency — tyre degradation pressure in the model.
→Soft qualifying form — avg P19.0 across 16 recent sessions.
→Sprint history — avg P14.8 over 12 recent sprints.
→Reliability concern — only 12% classified finishes.
→Outperforming teammate by 2.1 positions on average.

Strength model inputs

Factor	Raw stat	Weight	Contribution
Recent form (last 5 races)	P9.0 avg	×1.25	15.00
Race pace (last 8 finishes)	P9.0 avg	×1.15	13.80
Team pace (last 10 finishes)	P10.0 avg	×0.95	10.45
Qualifying (up to 16 sessions)	P19.0 avg · n=16	×1.35	2.70
Team qualifying	P18.8 avg	×0.7	1.53
Sprint form (up to 12 sprints)	P14.8 avg · n=12	×0.95	5.86
Team sprint	P17.8 avg	×0.4	1.27
This weekend grid	—	×0	0.00
This weekend sprint	—	×0	0.00
weekend_practice	—	×0	0.00
quali_vs_race	—	×0.35	1.20
tyre_degradation	—	×1.05	-0.68
Circuit history	P10.3 avg	×0.65	6.94
Reliability	12% finishes	×8	0.94
Teammate delta	+2.1 vs teammate	×0.6	1.27
Track type	permanent	×0.45	0.00
Total strength			60.28

race pace

███░░3.0/5

qualifying

░░░░░0.5/5

sprint form

██░░░1.5/5

weekend grid

Coming soon

weekend sprint

Coming soon

circuit fit

███░░2.7/5

recent form

███░░3.0/5

tyre model

Coming soon

weather

Coming soon

reliability

█░░░░0.6/5

sample starts

░░░░░/5

Race details →Compare all drivers →

Current / derived form

Coming soon

Genome

Coming soon

Recent results

Coming soon

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