#	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Grade
1	Andrea Kimi Antonelli	P2	P1	Accurate
2	Max Verstappen	P7	P3	Surge
3	Charles Leclerc	P6	P2	Surge
4	Lewis Hamilton	P5	P4	Accurate
5	George Russell	P7	P8	Accurate
6	Lando Norris	P9	P5	Surge
7	Oscar Piastri	P10	P7	Surge
8	Isack Hadjar	P11	P6	Surge
9	Liam Lawson	P12	P9	Surge
10	Arvid Lindblad	P13	DNF	DNF

Race prediction model

Mexico City Grand Prix

Round 19

Published model · v1.4.0 · feat 1.3.0 · as of Oct 30, 9:38 PM

After practice & qualifying

Odds are pre-weekend. They will shift after FP, qualifying, and sprint (on sprint weekends).

Driver	Model P1	Practice	Grid	Weekend shift
Andrea Kimi Antonelli	93.8%	—	—	waiting on session
Max Verstappen	3.4%	—	—	waiting on session
Charles Leclerc	1.7%	—	—	waiting on session
Lewis Hamilton	1.0%	—	—	waiting on session
Lando Norris	0.1%	—	—	waiting on session
George Russell	0.1%	—	—	waiting on session
Oliver Bearman	0.0%	—	—	waiting on session
Arvid Lindblad	0.0%	—	—	waiting on session
Gabriel Bortoleto	0.0%	—	—	waiting on session
Pierre Gasly	0.0%	—	—	waiting on session

#	Driver	Team	P1	P2	P3	Podium	Exp pos	DNF
1	Andrea Kimi Antonelli	Mercedes	93.8%	0.8%	0.0%	94.5%	P2.11	5.6%
2	Max Verstappen	Red Bull	3.4%	45.3%	20.0%	68.7%	P6.61	22.2%
3	Charles Leclerc	Ferrari	1.7%	31.1%	29.0%	61.8%	P5.89	16.7%
4	Lewis Hamilton	Ferrari	1.0%	18.2%	31.1%	50.3%	P4.44	5.6%
5	Lando Norris	McLaren	0.1%	1.6%	6.9%	8.6%	P8.37	22.2%
6	George Russell	Mercedes	0.1%	3.0%	12.5%	15.6%	P7.01	16.7%
7	Oliver Bearman	Haas F1 Team	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P15.65	35.0%
8	Arvid Lindblad	RB F1 Team	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P12.98	35.0%
9	Gabriel Bortoleto	Audi	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P14.88	35.0%
10	Pierre Gasly	Alpine F1 Team	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P13.03	35.0%
11	Esteban Ocon	Haas F1 Team	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P15.52	35.0%
12	Alexander Albon	Williams	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P16.86	35.0%
13	Liam Lawson	Red Bull	0.0%	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	P12.00	33.3%
14	Franco Colapinto	Alpine F1 Team	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P14.05	35.0%
15	Carlos Sainz	Williams	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P16.56	35.0%
16	Sergio Pérez	Cadillac F1 Team	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P17.84	35.0%
17	Lance Stroll	Aston Martin	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P17.46	35.0%
18	Fernando Alonso	Aston Martin	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P15.87	35.0%
19	Valtteri Bottas	Cadillac F1 Team	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P18.03	35.0%
20	Isack Hadjar	Red Bull	0.0%	<0.1%	<0.1%	0.1%	P10.75	26.7%
21	Oscar Piastri	McLaren	0.0%	0.0%	0.4%	0.4%	P9.39	22.2%
22	Nico Hülkenberg	Audi	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P14.56	35.0%
23	Yuki Tsunoda	RB F1 Team	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	P13.37	35.0%

Full prediction center →

Last race analysis · United States Grand Prix

Positions from grid

Places gained or lost versus the starting grid.

Driver	Grid	Finish	Δ
BOR	P21	P13	+8
STR	P22	P15	+7
NOR	P8	P5	+3
LEC	P4	P2	+2
LIN	P14	P12	+2
HAM	P5	P4	+1
OCO	P15	P14	+1
ANT	P1	P1	0

Qualifying vs race pace

Saturday grid versus Sunday finish and fastest lap.

Driver	Quali	Finish	Q time	FL
ANT	P1	P1	1:34.035	1:39.086
VER	P2	P3	1:34.214	1:39.231
HAD	P3	P6	1:34.250	1:39.399
LEC	P4	P2	1:34.267	1:37.976
HAM	P5	P4	1:34.311	1:38.457
RUS	P6	P8	1:34.476	1:39.928
PIA	P7	P7	1:34.803	1:40.328
NOR	P8	P5	1:35.049	1:39.811

Stint degradation

Median pace and estimated time loss per lap on each stint (in/out laps removed). Compounds are not in this timing snapshot.

Driver	Stint	Laps	Median	Deg / lap
ALB	S1	L1–16 · 4	1:46.707	-2741 ms
ALO	S1	L1–28 · 4	1:47.348	-3193 ms
ANT	S1	L1–24 · 5	1:40.705	—
BEA	S1	L1–13 · 5	1:42.760	—
BOR	S1	L1–26 · 4	1:48.014	-3767 ms
BOT	S1	L1–29 · 4	1:48.627	-3805 ms
COL	S1	L1–30 · 4	1:47.940	-3789 ms
GAS	S1	L1–24 · 5	1:42.765	—
HAD	S1	L1–25 · 5	1:41.203	—
HAM	S1	L1–14 · 5	1:41.157	—
HUL	S1	L1–29 · 4	1:47.231	-3157 ms
LAW	S1	L1–25 · 5	1:42.438	—
LEC	S1	L1–15 · 5	1:40.837	—
LIN	S1	L1–18 · 4	1:46.266	-2817 ms
NOR	S1	L1–16 · 5	1:41.694	—
OCO	S1	L1–21 · 5	1:43.174	—

Open race center →

Title battle

Rivalry desk

Full title odds →

Championship lead

Andrea Kimi Antonelli365

George Russell242

Lead by 123 pts · 5 races left

Must beat the leader

George Russell−123 pts · 4.0%
Lewis Hamilton−124 pts · 4.0%
Max Verstappen−129 pts · 0.1%

Constructors: Mercedes leads by 133 pts

Teammate delta

Mercedes
Antonelli ahead of Russell
+123 pts
Ferrari
Hamilton ahead of Leclerc
+8 pts
Red Bull
Verstappen ahead of Hadjar
+131 pts

Championship

Standings

Full →

365

Antonelli

242

Russell

241

Hamilton

236

Verstappen

233

Leclerc

Last race

United States Grand Prix

The Paddock2026 season

Round 19scheduled

FP weekendQ

🏁—

Mexico City Grand Prix

rodriguez

Sun, Nov 1, 08:00 PM local

Weekend timeline

Next: Qualifying

Starts in

0m 00s

FP1
Fri 06:30 PM
FP2
Fri 10:00 PM
FP3
Sat 05:30 PM
Q
Sat 09:00 PM
RACE
Sun 08:00 PM

Times in UTC

Length

4.304 km

Laps

Round

R19

Days

Hrs

Min

Sec

Race week briefing →Circuit Race center Predictions

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Season

2026

CALENDAR

Next round

R19

SCHEDULE

Leader

Andrea Kimi Antonelli

STANDINGS

Leader pts

POINTS

P2 gap

−0

DELTA

Title model

Active

5 races left

Title battle

Rivalry desk

Full title odds →

Championship lead

Andrea Kimi Antonelli365

George Russell242

Lead by 123 pts · 5 races left

Must beat the leader

George Russell−123 pts · 4.0%
Lewis Hamilton−124 pts · 4.0%
Max Verstappen−129 pts · 0.1%

Constructors: Mercedes leads by 133 pts

Teammate delta

Mercedes
Antonelli ahead of Russell
+123 pts
Ferrari
Hamilton ahead of Leclerc
+8 pts
Red Bull
Verstappen ahead of Hadjar
+131 pts

Last completed round

Race recap

R18

United States Grand Prix

americas · 2026-10-25

+25 pts

+18 pts

+15 pts

Race at a glance

Pole

ANT

Mercedes

P1 grid

Fastest lap

LEC

Ferrari

Biggest gain

BOR

Audi

P21 → P13 · +8

Biggest drop

BEA

Haas F1 Team

P13 → P22 · -9

Race intelligence →Circuit profile

Last race analysis

United States Grand Prix

Positions from grid

Places gained or lost versus the starting grid.

Driver	Grid	Finish	Δ
BOR	P21	P13	+8
STR	P22	P15	+7
NOR	P8	P5	+3
LEC	P4	P2	+2
LIN	P14	P12	+2
HAM	P5	P4	+1
OCO	P15	P14	+1
ANT	P1	P1	0
PIA	P7	P7	0
LAW	P9	P9	0
GAS	P10	P10	0
HUL	P11	P11	0

Qualifying vs race pace

Saturday grid versus Sunday finish and fastest lap.

Driver	Quali	Finish	Q time	FL
ANT	P1	P1	1:34.035	1:39.086
VER	P2	P3	1:34.214	1:39.231
HAD	P3	P6	1:34.250	1:39.399
LEC	P4	P2	1:34.267	1:37.976
HAM	P5	P4	1:34.311	1:38.457
RUS	P6	P8	1:34.476	1:39.928
PIA	P7	P7	1:34.803	1:40.328
NOR	P8	P5	1:35.049	1:39.811
LIN	P9	P12	1:36.049	1:39.422
LAW	P10	P9	1:35.058	1:39.652
GAS	P11	P10	1:35.080	1:40.193
HUL	P12	P11	1:35.158	1:40.323

Stint degradation

Median pace and estimated time loss per lap on each stint (in/out laps removed). Compounds are not in this timing snapshot.

Driver	Stint	Laps	Median	Deg / lap
ALB	S1	L1–16 · 4	1:46.707	-2741 ms
ALO	S1	L1–28 · 4	1:47.348	-3193 ms
ANT	S1	L1–24 · 5	1:40.705	—
BEA	S1	L1–13 · 5	1:42.760	—
BOR	S1	L1–26 · 4	1:48.014	-3767 ms
BOT	S1	L1–29 · 4	1:48.627	-3805 ms
COL	S1	L1–30 · 4	1:47.940	-3789 ms
GAS	S1	L1–24 · 5	1:42.765	—
HAD	S1	L1–25 · 5	1:41.203	—
HAM	S1	L1–14 · 5	1:41.157	—
HUL	S1	L1–29 · 4	1:47.231	-3157 ms
LAW	S1	L1–25 · 5	1:42.438	—
LEC	S1	L1–15 · 5	1:40.837	—
LIN	S1	L1–18 · 4	1:46.266	-2817 ms
NOR	S1	L1–16 · 5	1:41.694	—
OCO	S1	L1–21 · 5	1:43.174	—
PER	S1	L1–23 · 4	1:47.988	-3160 ms
PIA	S1	L1–15 · 5	1:41.487	—
RUS	S1	L1–22 · 5	1:41.161	—
SAI	S1	L1–17 · 4	1:47.285	-2881 ms
STR	S1	L1–15 · 4	1:48.682	-4188 ms
VER	S1	L1–13 · 5	1:40.631	—

Active season

2026

Mexico City Grand Prix

Prediction United States Grand Prix